In an event that has caused political ripples in the Kenya Kwanza government, the ODM interim party leader, Dr. Oburu Oginga, has publicly stated that the Orange Democratic Movement has not pledged its support to President William Ruto for the 2027 elections.
The Siaya Senator, speaking with a frankness that indicates a change in the “broad-based” alliance, opened the door for independent presidential candidacy as a very real and strong option while at the same time declaring the party’s collaboration with the government.
The statement not only disrupts the easygoing State House insiders’ view but also the narrative if the support pact that cheapened the inclusion of ODM heavyweights into the Cabinet as a silent agreement for re-election support.
Oburu’s announcement clarifies the situation: the Orange party is not for sale, and its presence in the Cabinet is a temporary administrative partnership, not a permanent political marriage.A more assertive, post-Raila ODM is being born in the nation.
Oburu Oginga pointed out that the party’s main concern is to keep its structural integrity.By not allowing a 2027 endorsement today, ODM is practically making the government accountable for its performance during the next two years.
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The party’s internal dynamics indicate that there is a new faction, headed by Secretary-General Edwin Sifuna, that is advocating for a complete split before the upcoming elections.
Oburu’s indecisiveness about the possibility of an independent candidate is protecting these “rebellious” voices.
This tactic guarantees that the party members—who are still getting over the surprise of the “broad-based” government—remain optimistic about the future, where they can still present their own candidate.
A significant “turn” in this saga is the insistence on the full realization of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between the President and the deceased Raila Odinga.
Oburu Oginga has made it clear that ODM’s future backing is not unconditional. The party is, it seems, monitoring crucial ministries—especially Energy and Treasury—to find out if their ministerial appointments would be given the freedom to produce “the common man” results that are tangible.
Should the government neglect to tackle the problem of high living expenses or the crisis in the healthcare sector transition, ODM now is in possession of the perfect exit strategy.
They can hold the government accountable for “sabotaging” their ministers and refuse to go through the electoral process, claiming that they were the only ones trying to reform the system from within while being blocked by “State House bureaucracy.”
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