The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) is undergoing visible tremors following the death of its long-serving party leader, the late Hon. Raila Amollo Odinga.
His passing has not only left a leadership vacuum but has also exposed shifting political loyalties and uncertainties within a party he built on firm ideological convictions and unwavering discipline.
For decades, Raila’s word functioned as political decree, particularly across the Nyanza region where his influence was unrivalled. Candidates he endorsed won with enviable margins, while those who attempted to defy his political direction were often cast into irrelevance.
His authority kept internal disagreements in check, bound members under one ideological umbrella, and ensured party cohesion even in turbulent political moments.
However, months after his death, the aftershocks are increasingly becoming evident. One of the most surprising developments is the announcement by Nairobi Woman Representative Esther Passaris that she will not defend her seat in the 2027 General Election.
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In a move that has stunned both ODM supporters and political observers, Passaris publicly endorsed United Democratic Alliance (UDA)–aligned senator Karen Nyamu as her preferred successor.
Her endorsement immediately ignited debate across the political spectrum. A section of Kenyans argue that Passaris’ unexpected exit signals deeper instability within ODM—an indication that some leaders who previously relied on Raila’s political muscle now find themselves exposed.
Critics claim that Passaris was among those who had long benefited from the former ODM leader’s influential endorsements and unwavering support base.
Without his strong hand to rally the party’s Nairobi vote, they argue that securing victory in a competitive race would present a considerable challenge for her.
Others view her decision as a strategic move aimed at avoiding a bruising contest in what is expected to be one of Nairobi’s most hotly contested seats. Karen Nyamu, whose political profile has been on the rise, has already built a strong grassroots presence, presenting formidable competition to any incumbent.
Inside ODM, Raila’s absence continues to spark questions about the party’s succession strategy, ideological direction, and ability to maintain its traditional bases. Party loyalists insist ODM remains intact, but analysts warn that more surprise political realignments may unfold as the 2027 campaigns draw near.
What is clear is that ODM, long synonymous with Raila Odinga’s towering legacy, is entering a new era—one defined by transition, uncertainty, and uncharted political terrain.
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